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Newest trends in economic growth - what do they mean for you

Newest trends in economic growth - what do they mean for you
July 22, 2019

 

Our economy needs to be strong if we are planning for good returns on our investments. Let's have a look at the newest trends in the economic growth of the country. India is a developing economy but surprisingly the fourth quarter figures of economic growth are not very progressive. The growth rate went below 7% in FY 2019, which is the lowest in five years. Some surveys suggest that the growth went down to 6% approximately. In comparison, the growth of China's economy was 6.4% in the last quarter. This would definitely affect the interest rates offered by the central bank. 
 

Economists of various private entities say that the demand for products has been a bit low in the domestic and the global market. Differences between the US and China continue over trade, imposing tariffs on the products. 

Slump in demand

In FY19, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), an amount based measure, raised to 3.6%. Various indicators like vehicle sales, train and airfares, petroleum goods and other goods, showed a decreased consumption, though the inflation was low. Sales of passenger vehicles saw the slowest growth period of 5 years, meager 2.7%.

One factor of low demands can be the decrease in government spending to meet the financial deficiency target of 3.4% of GDP. Public spending and utilization were good in the midst of feeble private demands.

Public spending and consumption had been propping up growth amid weak private investment and exports. Many banks estimate the fourth quarter growth to be 6% approximately.

Nonbanking Finance Companies (NBFCs) and Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services (IL&FS) faced a decline in demand and are one of the factors of slow growth, experts think.

Slash in Rates

SBI expects a keener rate cut, 35-50 Base Point Rate (BPS) in the imminent arrangement. "Curiously, RBI out of the blue could utilize the rate change in non-multiples of 25 BPS as an initial move towards giving second-age sign to market of future approach position," said SBI in a note.

Seeing the trends in economic growth, the RBI anticipates that India's economy should grow to 7.4% in FY19. It has moved its concentration from inflationary worries to keeping up development force.

Benefit for investors

Investors can reap multiple benefits from the slow market. When the market will eventually rise, investors will get good returns. Also, if the investment is done in stock market instrument then returns will be more as the market will rise and while selling more money will be made. It is a win-win situation for the investor.

As the Indian economy will rise to the expected growth rate in the coming time, investors can build their wealth with the growing economy, especially by investing in market-linked plans like ULIPs.

Reference - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/economic-growth-may-have-slipped-below-7-in-fy19-lowest-in-5-years-et-poll/articleshow/69551246.cms

 

ARN: ED/07/19/14707

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Francis Rodrigues Francis Rodrigues

Francis Rodrigues has a decade long experience in the insurance sector, and as SVP, E-Commerce and Digital Marketing, HDFC Life, manages the online sales channel, as well as digital and performance marketing. He has had hands-on experience in setting up sales channels and functional teams from scratch over a career spanning 2 decades.

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Vishal Subharwal Vishal Subharwal

Vishal Subharwal heads the Strategy, Marketing, E-Commerce, Digital Business & Sustainability initiatives at HDFC Life. He is responsible for crafting and ensuring successful implementation of the overall organisation strategy.

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